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Speaker: Karin Mayr-Dorn, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University of Linz
Paper: Trade diversion and labor market adjustment: Vietnam and the US-China Trade War
Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of the U.S.-China trade war on trade diversion and the labor market in a third country, Vietnam. We exploit variation in Vietnamese exports to the U.S. across industries and districts based on the extent of the unexpected and exogenous U.S. tariff hikes on Chinese imports and provide evidence of an indirect effect on labor market outcomes in Vietnam. Vietnamese workers and districts that are more exposed to the trade war display higher employment, working hours, and wages as a result of the U.S.-China trade war. Our findings reveal that bilateral trade policy can have substantial offsetting effects on trade flows and labor markets in third countries.
Bio: Karin Mayr-Dorn is an Associate Professor at the Department of Economics at the Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Austria. Currently, she is a Visiting Professor at Malcolm Wiener Center for Social Policy at the Harvard Kennedy School. Her research interests are international economics, labor economics, and public economics. Before joining JKU Linz, Karin spent six years at the University of Vienna. She was also a research visitor at the University of Warwick, Trinity College Dublin, the University of California at Davis, and the University College London.
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